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JOHN WILEY & SONS, INC. (WLY)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Adjusted results strengthened despite GAAP tax effects: Adjusted Revenue +1% CC to $404.6M, Adjusted Operating Margin +280 bps to 14.2%, Adjusted EBITDA +4% to $93.9M, and Adjusted EPS +39% to $0.84; GAAP diluted EPS was ($0.43) due to valuation allowance and sale-related charges .
  • Research drove the quarter: revenue +5% CC to $268M, Adjusted EBITDA margin up 180 bps to 32.7%, aided by open access, solutions and a $9M AI licensing expansion; excluding AI, Research grew +2% CC in Q3 and YTD .
  • Learning was seasonally soft: revenue down 6% YoY to $137M (Academic -10% CC, Professional -1% CC), yet margin expanded to 35.4%; prior-year tough comp included a $6M license renewal .
  • Guidance reaffirmed, margin outlook raised: FY25 tracking to high end for EBITDA margin (23–24%) and EPS ($3.25–$3.60); FY26 Adjusted EBITDA margin target raised to 25%+ with cash flow target reaffirmed at $200M .
  • Near-term catalysts: strong Q4 expected in Research on favorable renewals and demand indicators, expanding AI licensing pipeline (tech, pharma, industrial), and continued cost-structure rationalization supporting multi-year margin expansion .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Research momentum and recurring revenue strength: “Our recurring revenue Research business has not only proven to be resilient across economic cycles but poised for continued expansion” — Matthew Kissner, CEO . Q3 Research revenue +5% CC; margin +180 bps .
  • AI licensing traction: Expanded content licensing project added $9M in Q3; YTD AI revenue $30M, with new vertical-specific recurring agreements initiated and active pipelines in tech, pharma, and industrials .
  • Margin expansion and outlook: Adjusted Operating Margin +280 bps; Adjusted EBITDA margin +50 bps; FY26 margin target raised to 25%+ on structural cost actions and operating efficiency initiatives .

What Went Wrong

  • Learning softness: Revenue down 6% YoY (Academic -10% CC) on seasonal fluctuations, tough prior-year licensing comp, and retail channel pressures; Adjusted EBITDA -5% albeit margin improvement .
  • GAAP EPS loss: Diluted EPS ($0.43), primarily from non-cash US valuation allowance tied to divested businesses, additional Wiley Edge sale loss, and restructuring charges .
  • Corporate unallocated costs: Adjusted corporate expenses rose on an EBITDA basis due to enterprise modernization and consulting tied to cost reengineering (although D&A declined) .

Financial Results

Consolidated Results (oldest → newest)

MetricQ3 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue, net ($M)$460.7 $403.8 $426.6 $404.6
Operating Margin (GAAP)-10.1% 7.2% 15.0% 12.8%
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)($2.08) ($0.03) $0.74 ($0.43)
Adjusted Revenue ($M)$402.5 $389.6 $423.4 $404.6
Adjusted Operating Income ($M)$46.0 $35.4 $68.8 $57.4
Adjusted Operating Margin11.4% 9.1% 16.3% 14.2%
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$91.5 $72.6 $105.5 $93.9
Adjusted EBITDA Margin22.7% 18.6% 24.9% 23.2%
Adjusted EPS ($)$0.59 $0.47 $0.97 $0.84

Notes: “Adjusted” excludes divested/held-for-sale businesses, FX and specified items per company reconciliation .

Segment Breakdown (Q3 2025)

SegmentRevenue ($M)YoY ReportedYoY CCAdjusted EBITDA ($M)Adj. EBITDA Margin
Research Publishing$225.9 +4% +5%
Research Solutions$41.7 +5% +6%
Research Total$267.5 +4% +5% $87.6 32.7%
Learning Academic$78.8 -10% -9%
Learning Professional$58.3 -1% -1%
Learning Total$137.1 -6% -6% $48.5 35.4%

KPIs and Balance Sheet/Cash

KPIQ3 2025 / YTD
Research submissions ↑18% YTD; output ↑8% YTD
AI licensing revenue: $9M in Q3; $30M YTD
Net Debt/EBITDA (TTM) 2.0
Cash from Operations (YTD) $52.3M
Free Cash Flow less Product Dev. (YTD) ($1.15)M
Dividends + Buybacks (YTD) $93M; buybacks $35M
Quarterly dividend declared $0.3525/share; annual $1.41

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Q2’25)Current Guidance (Q3’25)Change
Adjusted Revenue ($B)FY25$1.650–$1.690 $1.650–$1.690; tracking mid-range Maintained
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)FY25$385–$410 $385–$410; mid-range Maintained
Adjusted EBITDA MarginFY2523–24% 23–24%; trending high end Raised within range emphasis
Adjusted EPS ($)FY25$3.25–$3.60 $3.25–$3.60; trending high end Raised within range emphasis
Free Cash Flow ($M)FY25≈$125 ≈$125; reaffirmed Maintained
Adjusted EBITDA MarginFY2624–25% 25%+ (raised) Raised

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1’25)Previous Mentions (Q2’25)Current Period (Q3’25)Trend
AI/technology initiativesExecuted $21M GenAI rights project; stage-2 recurring model vision Pipeline in tech/pharma; 25% of colleagues report productivity gains; featured by Salesforce $9M Q3 expansion; $30M YTD; vertical-specific recurring agreements emerging Expanding monetization; moving to recurring verticals
Research publishing demandSubmissions/output growth; OA/institutional models Modest growth; renewals underway Open access strong; CY25 renewals ~80% complete with encouraging trends Strengthening into Q4
Regional trendsGlobal diversification; mature + growth markets India ONOS approved India ONOS signed; Brazil transformational agreement; APAC 45% output Structural TAM expansion
Cost structure/margins$130M cost program; reinvestment Ongoing optimization; margin gains Corporate shared services rationalization; FY26 margin target raised Multi-year uplift
Regulatory/macroGeopolitical/funding uncertainty acknowledged US federal funding exposure limited; low single-digit potential impact; confidence maintained Monitored; limited risk near term
Product performance (Learning)AI-driven licensing; courseware growth; ex-AI Academic -1% Strong courseware; high margin; tough Q4 AI comp ahead Seasonally soft; margin up; expecting courseware lift in Q4; other licensing to mitigate Mixed but improving margin profile

Management Commentary

  • “We continue to deliver disciplined growth and material margin expansion as we capitalize on the global demand for scientific research and responsible AI model development.” — Matthew Kissner, CEO .
  • On FY26 margin target increase: “We are rationalizing our cost structure largely in corporate shared services…100+ bps improvement we expect as a result of the actions we're taking.” — Christopher Caridi, Interim CFO .
  • On AI licensing strategy: “Licensing represents a core business activity…models should be trained on trusted, authoritative content such as Wiley’s while protecting the rights of authors.” — Management remarks .
  • On India ONOS: A multiyear national agreement expands access to ~6,300 institutions and ~18 million researchers, unifying the research ecosystem and expanding recurring revenue .

Q&A Highlights

  • Margin outlook drivers: Structural cost rationalization in corporate shared services, seeking “permanent margin improvement,” benchmarking against peers (e.g., Springer Nature) to identify savings opportunities .
  • AI revenue mix: Confirmation that the $9M incremental AI licensing was entirely in Q3 and recognized in Research, while prior agreements impacted Learning .
  • Learning trajectory: Management expects positive courseware impact and additional licensing in Q4, though a tough AI comp from prior year will pressure reported growth; aiming for improved Learning margins into FY26 .
  • Capital allocation: YTD buybacks of ~$35M with assessment of pace in FY26 given improving free cash flow; dividend yield >3.5% maintained .
  • US funding risk: Direct US federal funding is a single-digit share of Wiley’s output; diversified funding and multiyear agreements support resilience .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global/Capital IQ quarterly consensus for EPS, revenue, and EBITDA was unavailable at the time of this report due to data access limits. As a result, we cannot quantify beats/misses versus Wall Street consensus for Q3 2025. Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable at the time of request.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Research-led compounding growth with expanding recurring revenue base and favorable renewals underpins a strong Q4 setup; watch for upside in Research Solutions and open access throughput .
  • Bold margin narrative: FY25 tracking to the high end for EBITDA margin and EPS and FY26 margin target raised to 25%+, driven by corporate cost reengineering and workflow automation — a multi-year re-rating catalyst .
  • AI monetization evolving: Phase-1 training deals ($30M YTD) gave way to Phase-2 vertical-specific recurring agreements with pharma/industrial; near-term revenue is lumpy, but medium-term ARR potential grows .
  • Learning is mixed but margin-accretive: Despite Q3 top-line softness, Learning margin expanded to 35.4%; expect courseware and licensing to mitigate tough comps in Q4 .
  • Cash and returns: FY25 FCF ≈$125M reaffirmed; dividend maintained and buybacks opportunistic amid leverage ~2.0x; improved FY26 cash conversion projected .
  • Risk monitor: US funding debate likely low single-digit direct impact; diversified geography/funding and multi-year contracts dampen volatility .
  • Trading implication: Near-term focus on Q4 print and FY26 guidance in June; positive skew if Research renewals/throughput and AI verticals land, with upside to margin trajectory amid structural costs actions .

Citations: All figures and statements are sourced from Wiley’s Q3 FY2025 Form 8-K press release and supplementary tables, Q3 FY2025 earnings call transcripts, prior Q1/Q2 FY2025 disclosures, and related press releases .